Friday, March 23, 2007

Could IPTV kill my bake potatoes ?

Based on a recent set of studies, your baked potatoes will be history by 2015 and will be replaced by baked yams.

On a serious note, how come people still take serious the studies/analysis/research that use the word 'kill' for one technology to other - it is true that some of the old emerging technologies (betamax/vhs) had a head-to-head competition, but others (ADSL/cable/satellite) have been around coexisting in 'harmony' for a while - and no sign of one 'killing' the other any time soon - specially with the big mass of consumers fluctuating from one service to the other.

The same way it has been said and said that e-mail would kill snail mail - but not yet as snail mail has bounce back - (1, 2), it is difficult to see that IPTV ("TV over IP") will kill TiVO ("end-user device") - it is true that TiVO is not only user equipment - there is infrastructure and services behind - but IPTV is more of an end-to-end framework (OK i am oversimplifying), with currently many flavours competing (and probably coexisting in the future) - from streaming to peer-to-peer.

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